Sunday, October 31, 2004

Predicitons

  • I predict that Sen. Kerry will win the 2004 presidential election because of minority voter/unpolled voter turnout in key battleground states
  • In fact, the popular vote will be in favor of the president and the electoral college will vote for Kerry
  • The final result will NOT be available on Nov. 3rd
  • The lawyer-phase will follow the general election
  • Ugliness in the form of lawsuits, demonstrations, some violent, will prevail
  • The win by Kerry will switch the tables on the Repuclicans in terms of electoral college woes; a serious constitutional debate will follow regarding the electoral college
  • Kerry will be an ineffectual president; the grid-lock that will follow will be unprecendented; he'll get no serious legislation through the congress, even the house let alone the senate
  • The sorry seeds sown by Bush will yield pustular crops that Kerry will be forced to harvest; naturally his administration will take the blame and guarantee a one-term presidency
  • The baby-boom "pig in the python" phenomenon will be tangible by 2008 and this will weigh heavily in the 2008 campaign
  • The loss by Bush will lead to civil war in the republican party; the conservative bible-pounding far right will battle with the more centrist fiscally conservative and secular faction
  • The civil war will yield a Guiliani to run on the "new" Republican ticket against Kerry and perhaps a splinter born-again-sponsored freak to make it a real three-party race for the first time since Bush-Clinton-Perot
  • Iraq will fungate; the real heat will calm down slightly after spring 2005; Kerry will succeed in getting France and/or Germany into the fray in exchange for more oil-revenue-based contracts; we'll ooze out and remain in Bosnia-like proportions (in terms of military involvement) for another decade; the neocons will be relegated to the lacky-corners of the Pentagon in due course

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